All of the driver values come from the league run by ESPN. This gives a better idea of how quick a driver and car really are and the top two drivers, Clint Bowyer and Mark Martin, both found there way into the top 10 on race day. It is your sole responsibility to understand your local laws and observe them strictly. GARAGE DRIVER: TYLER REDDICK (3): Reddick will have some momentum Sunday after his win at the Brickyard last week. This chart measures speed by segments in each race. Kyle Larson is the 3-1 favorite in the latest 2021 FireKeepers Casino 400 ET on FOX. 16 Kaulig Racing driver has a pair of eighth-place finishes while running for JTG, in 2014 and 2016. ET . ET. He ranks seventh in both laps led (316) and fastest laps (207) despite a slow start to the season. Portions of this content are hidden. Austin Dillon 5. The NASCAR season continues on Sunday with the 2021 FireKeepers Casino 400 at Michigan International Speedway. We have some tracks that are coming up on the schedule that I think we should win. Rest of Jordans Card Kyle Busch Top 5 Finish (+115) See notes above on Kyle Busch and head on over to BetRivers to grab this at +115 odds. With these strong finishes and extremely good price, every team owner should consider adding Brian Vickers to their team. He led 90 of the 200 laps but bounced off the wall one too many times in the race. On Saturday, Erik will start from back in 23rd and I really like his top 10 finishing potential with that place differential potential. The 23rd race of the NASCAR Cup Series season takes place this weekend at Michigan International Speedway Kevin Harvick has won this race three times in the previous four years The race for positions in the NASCAR Drivers Championship continues this weekend, as the FireKeepers Casino 400 is staged at Michigan International Since Auto Club is so wide, it may reward Chastains aggressive driving style should he slide around and dive deep under cars. Of those, I view Kansas to be the single most similar track and at that venue in addition to finishing 3rd, Busch had the best Total Speed Ranking. His model, which simulates every race 10,000 times, called seven outright winners last season. He does have one other top 10 at Fontana, though: a fifth place back in 2016. Jones followed up that speed with a third-place finish after leading 18 laps. Try it out! The combination of a new nose and whatever gains teams made over the offseason will not be known until cars go green this afternoon. This is race No. If this race at Michigan on Sunday gets crazy at the end, Bubba Wallace could sneak into the optimal lineup with a surprise finish. and give one of our public leagues a go. Michigan State is 15-14-0 ATS this season. Kevin Harvick ($8400) and Aric Almirola ($6800)put up solid practice times, with little tire falloff over the long run. I believe thats a mistake. Watch more top videos, highlights, and B/R original content, Do Not Sell or Share My Personal Information. We may be compensated for the links provided on this page. Christopher Bell ($9000):Im going back to the Bell well, simply for no reason other than hes been ridiculously fast at similar tracks this year. There have been eight intermediate races with this package that we can analyze from this season: Homestead, Las Vegas, Kansas, both Atlanta races, both Pocono races, and Charlotte. At Michigan, it is incredibly difficult to pass the leader, so its hard to imagine Larson not dominating at least the first half of the FireKeepers Casino 400 on Sunday afternoon. Live NASCAR odds show Kyle Larson as the race favorite at +650, followed by Chase Elliott (+700), Denny Hamlin (+800), Kyle Busch (+950) and Ryan Blaney (+1000). Chris Buescher: +500. 1. The No. The Toledo Rockets (23-6, 14-2 MAC) battle the Central Michigan Chippewas (10-19, 5-11) Tuesday. Im instead opting for Almirolas +500 odds, and heres why. The best way to utilize the odds is to look at guys who are anywhere from 5/1 to 10/1 and build your team around these drivers. Michigan | NASCAR Fantasy Picks - FireKeepers Casino 400 (2021 Race #25) Watch on Slingshot Fantasy Auto Contest Picks for the FireKeepers Casino 400 at Despite sitting in 11th place in NASCAR standings, Reddick's Fantasy production indicates he's an elite driver. The latest in the sports world, emailed daily. Michigan DraftKings DFS Cash Game Picks Ryan Blaney ($9300): Blaney is in a great cash-game spot here, priced down from the top tier at only $9300. ET Fantasy Football. He finished 5th, 2nd, 6th and 2nd in his last four races at Michigan. At Auto Club, the Im just going to chalk up his result to him not closing well. CBS Sports is a registered trademark of CBS Broadcasting Inc. Commissioner.com is a registered trademark of CBS Interactive Inc. site: media | arena: nascar | pageType: stories | Here are the drivers and latest NASCAR odds included in Group D at Caesars: Erik Jones: -105. Despite posting strong results in this race in recent years, Busch hasn't won in Vegas since 2009, but he looks set to recapture his dominant form, now with RCR. Kyle Larson is on the pole for this weekends race with his teammate, Chase Elliott, slated to start 2nd. Over the last three races ran at Michigan, Newman has an AFP(average finishing position) of 20.3. Blaney starts 24th because he tagged the wall slightly during his qualifying lap. Now without further ado, lets goooo!!!! I would be surprised to see him finish this afternoon outside of the top 10. A price tag of -105 translates to an implied probability of 51.22%, which is way too rich for my blood considering the uncertainty that I detailed in the introduction. Top 2022 FireKeepers Casino 400 NASCAR DFS picks For NASCAR at Michigan, McClure is high on Kyle Busch ($10,500 on DraftKings and $13,500 on WebFIREKEEPERS CASINO 400 PICKS & PREDICTIONS Heres a list of the favorites to win Sunday with odds provided by BetMGM sportsbooks: Chase Elliott (6/1) has four wins this season and his 7.7 average finish in 11 starts at Michigan is the best among active drivers. Before I share this weeks picks for Auto Club, heres a look at how last weeks drivers did on DraftKings: A lot of these drivers were caught up in late crashes and werent able to get a good finish. A name and email address are required to post a comment. The NASCAR Cup Series schedule continues on Sunday with the 2022 FireKeepers Casino 400 at Michigan International Speedway. As the early NASCAR Cup Series odds begin to evolve, Busch could make a serious statement with a second win in as many weeks, and with Top-5 finishes in this race each of the past two years, it's certainly within his grasp. Michigan Fantasy Spin At Michigan, look for Kyle Busch to be a top five contender wholl be a factor to win. Lets review the NASCAR DraftKings scoring rules. Add in his fast practice and qualifying times, and we have a nice contrarian play to Kyle Busch and Denny Hamlin. If a driver posts some fast laps in practice and qualifies up front, he needs to be in our lineups. Michigan is one of my favorite tracks. Michigan Fantasy Spin At Michigan, Tyler Reddick has a less than appealing track record but on Sunday, look for him to be a contender. Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbooks lines around the Toledo vs. Central Michigan odds, and make our expert college basketball picks, predictions and bets.. Toledo covered as Fantasy sports are one of the most popular activities among sports fans, and NASCAR has it own fun fantasy sports system. Rain and snow washed out practice and qualifying on Saturday, so we have no data to analyze ahead of Sundays race. Drivers also can earn .45 for each fastest lap and .25 for each lap they lead. The NASCAR Cup Series is headed to the Irish Hills of Michigan this weekend for the FireKeepers Casino 400 on Sunday afternoon. This slate locks on 2/26/23 at 3:45 p.m. While leading on lap 158, Larson ran out of fuel. William Byron 3. Larson also had the fourth-best average speed across all the intermediate tracks last year, according to ifantasyrace.com. That was no fluke. Hamlin should be a good pick at Michigan. Speedweeks provided a shockingly profitable start to the NASCAR season for me. The Preview Show crew predicts the top fantasy picks and bad bets at Michigan International Speedway. The green flag will drop at 3 p.m. You can also look at drivers historical stats at Auto Club. If you have any thoughts or ideas youd like to share, hit me up on Twitter at @thewonkypenguin. You have the most likely dominator in Larson and then the all three major chalk high finish and place differential plays in Bell/A. For a slightly lesser cost, you could fill you teams spot with Newmans teammate and boss, Tony Stewart. Keep in mind that theres rain expected most of Saturday, so you might not get to see how drivers will perform in their limited practice time. Michigan has long been a great track for Busch, and in 2022 at high-speed intermediate tracks where theres correlation, Busch has been fast and has been a contender to win the last three races. Tyler Reddick 5. Before locking in any NASCAR DFS picks for the 2023 Pala Casino 400, be sure to check out the optimal NASCAR at Fontana DFS strategy and advice from SportsLine's Mike McClure. The Cup Series has spent the summer competing on road courses, the Superspeedway at Atlanta and flat tracks. The second table is data from the three races on 2-mile race tracks last season (one race at Auto Club and two races here at Michigan). We might get two, but with Kyle Larson on the pole this weekend, it could very well be a one-dominator build. Gambling Problem? I think youll find it really helpful when you create your own lineups. Chase Elliott ($9,200) My projections really like Chase Elliott this weekend, and even though its pretty uncomfortable to put together a DraftKings lineup with both front row starters on it, that strategy could definitely work out this weekend at Michigan. As the returning winner, he has an excellent chance of breaking Fords eight-race losing streak but should provide a high positional value even if he comes up short of victory. Pictured: NASCAR Cup Series driver Aric Almirola. His No. I have set up another Free FanDuel contest for our readers to allow everyone to play this nutty little game that adds a lot of excitement to NASCAR races for casual and diehard fans alike. Thats a good effort for him. Justin Carter's DraftKings DFS lineup picks for the NASCAR Xfinity Series Production Alliance Group 300 at Auto Club Speedway. The fifth and final spot on a fantasy team may not seem that important, but I believe selecting a good fifth driver is what separates good teams from bad teams. Stay tuned for full race analysis and best bets coming later this week! Grab This Top 10 Prop Bet For The NASCAR Race At Daytona 2 DraftKings NASCAR Fantasy Picks, Projections, & Strategy Breakdown (Coke Watkins Glen NASCAR Algorithm Predicted Finishing Order (Go Bowling At The Watkins Glen DraftKings NASCAR Fantasy Picks & Driver Projections (Go Bowling Michigan is a 2-mile race track. In race #1 2020, Busch finished 9th in Stage #1, 6th in Stage #2, had a 6.6 average running position, recorded the 5th best Total Speed Ranking and then finished 5th overall. I pride myself on the quality of my analysis for each race, and am glad that I have been able to help others along the way. If you look at practice times at the first race at Michigan, things are a little confusing, because the top three drivers in second practice were David Stremme, JJ Yeley and Travis Kvapil. Read his daily fantasy NASCAR advice and Xfinity sleepers. The talk of the weekend is how the Toyotas dominated practice and qualifying, but for DFS purposes we need to extend beyond the Toyotas and look at the whole field. For the season, Busch ranks fourth in laps led (462) and sixth in pass differential (220). Here are this weekend's picks, courtesy Frontstretch.com 's Joy Tomlinson. Thanks for choosing to comment on this article. Below we detail a NASCAR pick at 5-1 odds with value for Sunday's race at Auto Club Speedway. Try selecting a different location. Jekyll and Mr. Hyde season? You can click the headers below to sort the chart by that attribute. These were just single lap times, but where the good information lies in the 10 lap average speed. Kyle Busch ($10,300)Career at Auto Club: 23 starts, 4 wins, 11 top fives, 16 top 10sAverage finish at Auto Club: 9.8. This week's sleeper pick is Brian Vickers, and adding Vickers would be a smart pick up for almost any team owner. Michigan has been a stellar track for Larson and on Sunday, look for him to finish in the top five and compete for the win. The Michigan State Spartans are averaging 69.8 points per game, 67 points against per game, 36 rebounds per game, and 14.8 assists per game. 2-Headed Monster: Is Kyle Busch Still Viewed as NASCARs Villain? In his last five races at Michigan, Denny Hamlin has been the most dominant of any driver in the Sprint Cup series. 2 Spot, Pala Casino 400: Fontana Picks, Odds & Race Preview, Daytona 500 Picks, Predictions, and Race Preview, Duel at Daytona Odds, Picks, & Predictions: Setting the Grid for Sunday, March 2023 Sports Calendar: Let the Madness Begin. I love this track; its had some great races in the last few years thanks to its high tire wear. begin to evolve, Busch could make a serious statement with a second win in as many weeks, and with Top-5 finishes in this race each of the past two years, it's certainly within his grasp. CHRISTOPHER BELL (3): Bell said after his win at New Hampshire last month, This is not going to be our only win this year. ET on USA. After a glut of drivers in the +1,000-+1,200 range, there's a fairly quick dropoff to the longshots, with just two drivers (Daniel Suarez, +2,500, Bubba Wallace, +3,000) priced between +2,000 and +4,000. In 2018 his finishes were 3rd and 4th. Kyle Larson 2. And yes, Id be remiss if I failed to disclose that my wifes bet on Ricky Stenhouse to win the Daytona 500 at 40-1 NASCAR odds did most of my bankrolls heavy-lifting. Qualifying in NASCAR is not always as important as it is other series such as F1, but there are certain tracks where qualifying can be important. Each of his last nine Michigan appearances have resulted in top 10 finishes, and he's led at some point in seven of those races. This is kind of like looking at the qualifying speeds, but I find that the practice speeds are a more valuable tool. Here are the rules for DraftKings' NASCAR fantasy game. Reddick is listed at 10-1 while Kyle Busch is the 11-2 favorite in the latest 2022 FireKeepers Casino 400 odds from Caesars Sportsbook. All photos and statistics are used with permission from NASCAR Media Group. As long as he doesnt wreck, Austin Dillon is a very strong DraftKings option this weekend at Michigan. Also factored in are projected laps led and fastest laps for each driver. Michigan, in recent history, has shown that good qualifying position can lead to good results. Unlike Blaney, I dont mind being equal or even slightly overweight to the field on Bowman in tournaments. Hes fast this weekend, has been fast at similar tracks, and starts close enough to the front to reduce his usage levels. Hamlin posted the third-fastest speed in practice and qualified ninth for the race. ET, FOX) at Auto Club Speedway, Im taking a very conservative approach for three key reasons: As a result, Im essentially sitting out of Sundays race at Auto Club except for the following group bet thats posted at Caesars Sportsbook. They look at their drivers and see one or two allocations left and they think, I am low on allocations with that driver, I need to save him. Do not do that!!! There are only four races left in the Fantasy Live regular season. Instead of selecting the winning team or manufacturer, we will earn 10 bonus points for selecting the driver who finishes the best in a Head-to-Head matchup. CS Media Limited All Rights Reserved. Kyle Larson is the defending winner, going to victory lane after a tight battle with his teammate Chase Elliott. Ricky Stenhouse A lot has changed since then, so take those statistics with a grain of salt, but the data from the last two years at these two tracks is very relevant. Copyright Another part of McClure's NASCAR DFS strategy includes rostering Tyler Reddick ($9,700 on DraftKings and $11,500 on FanDuel). Other cash-game drivers I like: Denny Hamlin (10,300),Brad Keselowski ($6900). Joy joined Frontstretch in 2019 as a NASCAR DraftKings writer, expanding to news and iRacing coverage in 2020. The No. However, his team Penske teammates showed more speed, qualifying fourth and fifth. You can see who it is, and every other pick, right here. ET on Sunday, and Keselowski could be an appealing NASCAR DFS pick despite this season's struggles. However, his team Penske teammates showed more speed, qualifying fourth and fifth. Kyle Larson WebNASCAR and its marks are trademarks of the National Association for Stock Car Auto Racing, LLC. Covers does not provide any advice or guidance as to the legality of online sports betting or other online gambling activities within your jurisdiction and you are responsible for complying with laws that are applicable to you in your relevant locality. Anybody who has followed his picks has seen huge returns. AJ Allmendinger ($6,400)Career at Auto Club: 14 starts, 0 wins, 0 top fives, 2 top 10sAverage finish at Auto Club: 19.4. All other trademarks are the property of their respective owners. Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbooks lines around the Michigan State vs. Iowa game odds, and make our expert college basketball picks, predictions and bets.. Auto Club DraftKings DFS Tournament Picks. Get Your First Deposit Matched Up to $100! Tyson Walker has led the Spartans this season with 14.6 points per game, Last week race analysis and best bets coming later this week 's sleeper pick is Brian Vickers, and close... 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